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since the great depression. when president obama took office, a lot of people thought, including his principle economic advisers, they could emerge from it in 2009 at some point. we were told the recession was over. it turns out it was not a v, it was an l. it went down and went straight across and went across and astayed across. this is unique. >> this election is about fear, great fear. both sides making the other people afraid of what will happen if that person becomes president, even paul ryan stoked it more yesterday saying obama's second term will threat jude ya christian voluntariliy values, means. where do we go from here for the rest of the nation where half country will be afraid who the president is, maybe saying he wasn't legitimate and saying it was stolen and fearful where that person will lead us? >> aing thi think that depends determination of citizens across the country that are outside the normal teams that operate in the two campaigns. we have a professional middle class in america. they're stoking the fires of fear. as i go across the country, people want the coun
in the past. our poll even has the president up two in florida. so the obama team certainly optimistic and down the stretch they come to keep that sports metaphor going. >> love it. thank you. >> as for the challenger mitt romney needs to rally his troops and out gun the president's skilled operation. peter zand certificate on a plane right now with the romney campaign. he called this report for us right before takeoff. >> reporter: two stops down, three more to go today as part of the 72 hour final sprint for mitt romney here in dubuque, iowa there's been a unique opportunity on the campaign plane as we prepare to board for colorado. several of the governor's top advisers are traveling with the campaign today. of course predictions about what will happen on tuesday. there's a sense they are soaking in these final hours of a campaign that many of them have been working on during the course of the last five years. the governor here again offering bipartisan themes. he has tried to draw attention to the president's comments from yesterday in ohio we said not to boo but encouraged voters
hour. president obama bounces from one battle ground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his argument. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening from democracy plaza. it's saturday, november 3, 2012. this is a prime time edition of "the daily rundown." we're taking a look at how we got here. presidential elections that aren't close are actually odd. no republican has gotten more than 300 electoral votes since 1988. only four democrats in history have gotten more than 53% of the vote. bottom line, this is 1976 meets 2000 meets 2004. in other words, it's a very close race. so how did we get here? the president began this campaign weighed down by a troubled economy and still faces a jobless rate higher than any incumbent seeking re-ele
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
obama buries romney. let's play "hardball." ♪ >>> good evening. i'm chris matthews in washington. let me start with this. the hurricane and this president. hemingway called it grace under pressure, the highly educated call it good government. the american people who count the most call president obama's handling of tropical storm sandy positive. 4 out of 5 give him good marks as first responder in the crisis. the question before the election is whether this huge story about disaster and executive response is the last big one before we vote. is it the october surprise? the black swan that swoops out of nowhere and changes everything? as scarlet o'hara said, there's always tomorrow. chuck todd is nbc's political director and john heilemann is "new york magazine's" national affairs editor and an msnbc analyst. i guess that's my question to start, but let me give you this first. the president this afternoon bagged a big endorsement, new york mayor mike bloomberg, who is always interesting to watch. he cited the president's stance on climate change as the major reason. he writes, quote, one b
obama's chances of re-election. the race is in a statistical tie. president obama at 48%, mitt romney at 47%. here is president obama in new hampshire. >> our fight goes on because we know this nation can't succeed without a growing, thriving middle class. our fight goes on because america has always done best when everybody gets a fair shot and everybody is doing their fair share and everybody is playing by the same rules. that's why you elected bill clinton in '92 and why you elected me in 2008 and why i'm running for a second term as president of the united states. >> mitt romney campaigned today in iowa, ohio, pennsylvania and virginia. here he is moments ago in cleveland. >> now, on tuesday, the choice to the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be re-elected -- >> no! >> it's possible, but not likely. if he were to be re-elected, he will still be unable to work with people in congress. >> the latest polling of likely voters in the crucial battleground states shows a slight edge for president obama. in ohio, a "columbus disp
an aabsentee ballot yesterday before he left. as for the candidates, obama is the first president ever to do early voting. mitt romney was at the polls this morning in massachusetts in an 11th hour decision he added two stops today. they're not official rallies but are billed as him thanking supporters. read into what you'd like. he's heading to pittsburgh right now and was in ohio earlier at the same time joe biden was there. you can see air force 2 sneak in behind the parked romney jet before romney met with reporters. peter alexander is live at romney headquarters if boston. peter, what's the vibe there? >> reporter: s.e., we can show you live pictures of what's happening right now. mitt romney is touching down in pittsburgh, pennsylvania. you noted the earlier stop in ohio. it was the romney campaign plan for him to go to ohio. governor romney said as long as they're out there, why don't we find another place to stop as well? that's where they came up with pennsylvania. this is significant because one of those states, ohio with 18 electoral votes, is a place he showered with attention. p
are launting. president obama is at 48% and mitt romney gets 47%. that is identical to the final nbc wall street journal poll before the 2004 election. bush, 48%, democrat john kerry, 47%. the race is also close in the swing states where 89 electoral college votes are up for grabs. in ohio, a columbus dispatch poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. ppp has president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48% in wisconsin. in iowa, a des moines register poll has president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of the "new york times" 538 blog forecasts that on november 6 president obama has an 85% chance of winning re-election and that president obama will win 307 electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 231. mitt romney today campaigned in ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, and iowa. his campaign has a sharp new attack line. >> you've probably heard what the president said a couple of days ago. he said you can vote for revenge. for revenge. i'm telling you, you shoul
eclipsed what could have been a hurdle for president obama. the october unemployment report. as it turns out, last month was a strong one for job creation. the labor department said 171,000 jobs were added last month, the unemployment rate ticked to 7.9%, but remained under 8% which is key for the president. in a move that surprised exactly no one, both campaigns tried to spin the news this morning. governor romney said this in wisconsin. >> he said he was going to lower the unemployment rate down to 5.2%. today we learned it's 7.9%, that's 9 million jobs short of what he promised. >> speaking in ohio the president highlighted the spike in job creation. >> and today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned that companies hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> joining us now, from washington, the man with all the answers, cnbc's amman jabbers. what's your assessment of this jobs report? >> it's definitely a strong jobs report, stronger than expected consensus was about 125,000 jobs, we saw 171,000. that was a
. political parties have to adapt to that. obama did. he did it in '08 and he absolutely did in this election. and guess what? 69%, 70% hispanics with him. we are barely getting on to the table. so we have to accept our voters as we find them. our activists have to be a part of that to help get that message out there. i think we'll see some differences. but saying to marco rubio or chris christie, i think is a mistake. >> you talk about reshaping. a lot of people think the attempt of reshaping mitt romney is what cost him this election. >> i said from day one, the governor of massachusetts should have been the guy running for president of united states. >> all right guys, stick with us. coming up on "way too early," elizabeth warren gets a win over scott brown in that closely watched massachusetts race. we'll look at how all the big races play out across the country, what it means for the coming fiscal fight on capitol hill. also ahead, bill karins going to join us from down democracy plaza with an update on this radar map a nor'easter headed straight for some of the same areas wiped out by l
, and there are a ton of questions. and even though president obama's reelection was settled at about 11:15 p.m. eastern last tuesday, the election overall is still underway in some parts of the country, including one place where it appears to have mostly just broken down with a bunch of federal level races still undecided. and the state in question is not florida for once. important updates coming up there including what may be a deconcession by a democrat who previously thought he had lost in a big important u.s. senate race. that's all ahead. >>> but we have to begin with breaking news out of washington. "the washington post" is reporting tonight that president obama is considering massachusetts senator john kerry as his new secretary of defense. that's right, defense. putting the decorated veteran and former presidential candidate in charge at the pentagon and not at the state department, as had been widely speculated. "the washington post" is sourcing its reporting to unnamed senior administration officials. senator kerry is also not commenting tonight. if senator kerry does move to the cabinet for
story. >>> it's four score for president obama. number 44 gets four more years in the white house. the race is finally over. now the next chapter begins. >>> here on capitol hill, senate democrats are jubilant. the counterparts in the house facing serious questions about their future. we'll break it all down. >> i'm s.e. cupp. >>> i'm touri. that's a temporary condition. >>> i've been wondering for weeks now. do you like me map? let's say the crystal ball is on a roll. see what i did there? wednesday, november 7th and you are in "the cycle." >> we remain more than a collection of red states and blue states. we are and forever will be the united states of america. >> okay. we have a power-packed "cycle" today. live the first family and president will leave chicago in 45 minutes and head back to the white house. yes, to quote the crowds -- >> four more years. four more years. >> and that's exactly what a re-elected bra eed barack obama get, four more years. is it a wartime president or bipartisan president? hint. this was the president at his victory speech in chicago last night. >>
the wind at his back, president obama now looks ahead to a second term. calling himself more determined and inspired to face the challenges ahead. the president and his massive campaign machine captured a second term with a strong electoral advantage over challenger mitt romney. 303 electoral votes. and a narrow victory. in florida the race there still too close to call. in az acceptance speech in chicago, he mentioned the deep rifts and cracks that line his road back to the white house. >> i believe we can seize this future together. because we are not as divided as our politics suggest. we're not as cynical as the pundits believe. we are greater than the sum of our individual ambitions. and we remain more than a collection of red states and blue states. we are and forever will be the united states of america. >> in the end as wildly predicted, ohio was what put the president over that all important 270 electoral vote threshold. the workers pulling obama in the state that was the linchpin to his re-election campaign. ohio and the two other states that together made up the unbreakable o
obama. that puts 29 electoral votes in the president's column. that gives him a final count of 332 electoral votes. governor romney 206 electoral votes. more on that in a few moments. >>> major news from the nation's highest court today. the justices of the supreme court said they will consider the racially charged issue of whether to scale back the historic voting rights act. more on this now from nbc news justice correspondent pete williams. >> reporter: craig, this is shaping up to be the most important supreme court term in decades for civil rights. the justices are already looking at affirmative action and college admissions. now they've agreed to consider whether to gut the landmark voting rights law. here is the question simply stated. has racial discrimination in the south diminished to the point that a key part of the voting rights act passed 47 years ago is no longer needed to assure access to the ballot box and to give minority candidates a fair shot at getting elected? >> well r-- >> reporter: and renewed four times since then. most recently in 2006, signed by president
. because your day is coming. >>> what a week this has been. whoever packs president obama's bags is busy. prepping for the president's big trip that starts tomorrow. he's going to asia tomorrow. no sitting u.s. president has ever visited the nation of cambodia before, but president obama is about to do so. no sitting u.s. president has ever visited burma, either. but president obama is about to go there too. no president has ever done that. when he's there, he will meet with the opposition leader. aung san suu kyi. while he's there. one interesting side note on president obama making this historic trim to burma. which is also called myanmar. in 2009, before the u.s. government decided that they were ready to send a sitting president to that country, we apparently first decided that we were ready to send a rock band to that comprehend. specifically the band ozo motley. the state department under a brand new president obama in 2009 authorized the great l.a. latin fusion band to go tour burma. a sort of ambassadors for u.s. culture in that notoriously closed off authoritarian part of the wo
of hurricane sandy's destructive path are doing the best they can. obama versus romney, democrats versus republicans. the world is watching and now it's your decision, america. good morning everyone on this election day 2012. i'm lynn berry. this is a special edition of "first look" on msnbc. >>> millions of votes have already been cast and the candidates will do last minute politicking early today. in ohio 1.8 million absentee ballots have already been cast. that's up from 2008. in florida, nearly 4.5 million people have already voted early or by absentee coming very close to the number from last time. president obama voted early this year. he'll do swing state interviews and then will play his traditional election day basketball game while awaiting the returns from chicago. mr. romney has added to last-minute campaign stops in ohio and pennsylvania after he votes in massachusetts. running mate paul ryan will vote in wisconsin before joining romney in boston and vice president joe biden will vote in delaware before joining the president in ohio. we have details on the candidates' final
that president obama said just that at his press conference. give the middle class their tax cuts, speaker boehner. cut it loose so they can go christmas shopping, senator mcconnell. it's what the people voted for. that's why they voted for me. that's the president talking. we are joined now by nbc's chief white house correspondent chuck todd. thanks for joining us tonight. this was a hot pressure cooker press conference and you were in the middle. let's talk about the president's tactic. it looks like he's got one. here he is sticking out his message of defending the middle class today, sticking to it. he practically dared the republicans to hold tax cuts for the middle class hostage. he went back to that word hostage. let's take a look. >> the other option is to pass a law right now that would prevent any tax hike whatsoever on the first $250,000 of everybody's income. i hope republicans in the house come on board, too. we should not hold the middle class hostage while we debate tax cuts for the wealthy. the most important step we can take right now, i think the foundation for a deal tha
that will happen in washington is we are going to start learning which senior members of the obama administration really only wanted to serve one term. is hillary clinton going to leave as secretary of state? is eric holder going to leave as attorney general? mr. geithner going to leave as secretary of treasury? the speculation is officially hot and heavy in washington as to who will stay on, who will leave and, of course, who will get the jobs of the people who do leave. everybody in washington is also now figuring out how they are going to work with president obama for another four years. how the politics of him earning a second term affects what he wants to do and how likely it is he is going to be able to do it. it probably was not an auspicious sign for that process when the president, right after his victory speech on tuesday night, right after he was done speak, as soon as he was done speaking, the night he wins a second term, after he gave that speech, he got on the phone and he tried to call the republican leader in the house and the republican leader in the senate, he tried to call john
hours to go -- 24 hours to go, president obama and governor romney make their closing arguments in six key battleground states. >> we've known many long days, and short nights and now we're close. the door to a brighter future is open, waiting for us. i need your vote. i need your help. walk with me. tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> wisconsin, that's why i need your vote. and if you're willing to work with me again, and knock on some doors with me, make some phone calls for me, turn out for me, we'll win wisconsin. we'll win this election. >> trouble at the polls. long waits in early voting lines in ohio and florida, but put tempers to the test. >> let them vote! >> the other big wild card, sandy. a week after the storm recovery efforts are still winding slowly through the hardest hit. new jersey governor chris christie who praised president obama's response to sandy repeated his support for mitt romney. sort of. >> on tuesday i'm voting for mitt romney because i think he's the best guy for the job. it doesn't mean that i can't turn to the president of the united states of a
'll be obama but it'll be close and that'll be good for everybody. >> okay. well, that's one day. i'm not quite so sure. mark haleprin, though, we've been waiting for these late-breaking polls, republicans have, remembering 1980. the late break didn't come, and if it really did, it broke just slightly toward the president. so these state polls are either skewed or barack obama's going to get another four years. >> narrowly if the polls are right, he'll get a narrow victory. but they're close enough and there's enough volatility in the electorate that i think we should all just wait and see. but certainly -- >> no, let's not do that. >> if you're going on the zeros and ones, the president enters today in the electoral college and the overall landscape, a little bit of an advantage. >> i'm scared to ask, is chuck todd in his command center? or is that just a lie in the script? oh, look, he's here. >> if you turn around and look behind you. >> 5 out of 6. >> i can wave to you. how you doing? you know what's awesome -- how did you make a mess already up there, by the way? >> leave it to us. >> how
two days before allen, president obama ea's nome to take over as nato commander was scheduled to testify at his confirmation hearing. that hearing has been put on hold. this ongoing cyber drama love saga that would shame even the writer of "general hospital" there's even a set of twins involved but we don't have time to get into it, comes one day before president obama holds his first press conference after his re-election. joining me now is jonathan allen. >> the other john allen. >> the other john allen. all we're missing now is for someone to wake up from a coma in a hospital and reveal they were the rightful commander of the troops. i mean the thing, this has spiraled and seemingly almost out of control. the reality, of course, is that there are 68,000 troops in afghanistan, we have military conflict in the middle east, what does this say and do to the leadership on the defense side? >> look, unless you believe that these are the only men that could carry out these jobs well, then the defense infrastructure and the national security infrastructure of the united states shou
's it. >> no barack obama! >> if it's obama, america wins. if it's romney, comedy wins. >> senator grassley, have you hit a big deer lately? the deer didn't make it, but was it delicious? >> i love you back, and we've got more work to do. >> one more year! one more year! >> never imagine such a thing as funny. president obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans. never imagine such a thing as funny. i'm not particular precisely of what i said but i stand by whatever i said, whatever it was. >> we are closing in on the final 48 hours of this campaign. the president is speaking live in debuk, iowa, his third of four stops today. and with him and his challenger in a frenzied sprint to win voters in those crucial battleground states. for the president that means shoring up support in the midwest states that backed him with great enthusiasm in 2008. with events in iowa, ohio, and wisconsin already today. and it was in the key battleground ohio that the president lambasted his challenger's latest effort to seize the medal of change. >> governor romney, he is a very talented s
. >> obama, romney argued, had been very generous with black, hispanics and young votevoters. >> i think the surprise was some of the turnout, especially in the urban areas. >> paul ryan lost his hometown. >> he lost his hometown -- >> which is not a particularly urban place. >> they voted against him twice. >> losing never feels good. >> president obama will hold his first press conference -- >> to discuss the looming fiscal cliff. >> will the fiscal cliff be the number one conversation piece? >> there's only so much we can say about this fiscal cliff/slope. >> i argued for a balanced approach. the majority of the voters agreed with me. >> i think they're popular ideas. >> i think the majority of voters agreed with me. >> clearly president obama won. >> losing never feels good. >> no more mr. nice guy. >> the president responds to questions about susan rice -- >> about the benghazi attacks. >> senator mccain and senator graham want to go after somebody, they should go after me. >> former cia director david petraeus will testify before the senate intelligence committee. >> general petrae
the next few days will feel like. president obama and governor romney are in the buckeye state as if the whole race may depend on it. guess what? it probably does. we'll go live to the site of the president's event this morning near columbus. there are more than just two guys running for office. house republicans could actually pick up a few seats on tuesday. we'll talk to the gop's man in charge of holding on to the house and the guy who predicted this could happen more than two years ago. november 2, 2012. this is the daily rundown. i'm chuck todd. let's get to my first read of the morning. four days after one of the worst storms ever to hit the country residents are reeling from sandy's impact. according to an early estimate from ploody's analytic the damage will approach $50 billion including property damage and loss of economic aft ty. more than 3.5 home owners and businesses are facing a day without power. the good news the number keeps coming down but there are still millions without power and then new york, staten island where at least 90 people were killed. the situati
including some along the garden state parkway. yesterday president obama joined governor chris christie on the ground in atlantic city for an up-close look at the destruction where the storm came ashore. they also saw the damage by air. boarding the president's marine one helicopter for aerial views of the hardest-ity communities. the governor thanked the president for pledging quick federal relief to the region. it's something president obama insists will not be delayed. >> what i can promise you is that the federal government will be working as closely as possible with the state and local officials, and we will not quit until this is done. we are not going to tolerate red tape. we're not going to tolerate bureaucracy. and i've instituted a 15-minute rule essentially on my team, you return everybody's phone calls in 15 minutes. whether it's the mayors, the governors, county officials. if they need something, we figure out a way to say yes. >> and the president of the united states and i have now had six conversations since sunday. that shows to me a level of caring and concern and inte
obama's re-election. we'll tell you how the business community is feeling about four more years. we know how stephen colbert feels. he's not taking it well. that clip later in the show. >>> first let's get to the news here at 30 rock in new york city. for obvious reasons we were locked in on the presidential election for the last couple days. hundreds of thousands of americans remained during that time without power during an unseasonably cold spell in the northeast. yesterday, to add to the damage left by hurricane sandy, a nor'easter blew through the east coast dumping snow and rain on a region that's barely begun to dig out from sandy. there are new pictures from staten island. several inches of wet snow are threatening to topple already weakened trees. power was knocked out to some 60,000 homes in new york and new jersey overnight, many of which had just seen service restored after more and a week in the dark. passenger trains grind to a halt and at least 1300 flights kept at the gates of airports. we'll have a live report from one of the areas hit hardest by the storm in just a mome
the bailout. 75% of those people said they voted for president obama. i think it was very, very large. even the republican analysts looking at the vote today, one of the things they have pointed to are some of the smaller counties, particularly up in the northwest part of the state. you know, where romney first raised this issue about ten days out from the election about whether jeep was moving to china. those areas, they underperformed compared to what they had done in 2004 when they won, particularly by doing very, very well again in some of the smaller counties around the state and the ones where they didn't do as well, counties with a significant auto industry presence. >> right. i'm curious, joe, in the last hours or days i should say that ad of the romney team saying jobs shipped to china, the president along the stump made a comment about revenge and some people including romney and ryan tried to say to people, this is about the love of country, not about revenge, but i couldn't help but to wnder about the people, the men and women in the state who have a job as a result of the auto
, the obama campaign says they've reached 125 million people, and reported that the romney campaign has only reached 50 million. that seems to be a disproportionate disadvantage. >> nobody has ever done this better than the obama campaign and their game is even better than it was in 2008. so i expect we're going to win. i think we're going to win iowa and ohio. >> let's listen to what john boehner, from ohio, said today. he gave his prediction on fox news this morning. >> forget everything that's been said about the obama ground game. the romney ground game is bigger and more sophisticated than anything i've ever seen. polls don't decide elections, voters do. >> just to be clear, you're guaranteeing a victory for mitt romney in ohio? >> no question in my mind. >> the speaker seems to be saying the romney campaign is incredibly sophisticated, even more so than the obama campaign and says we have enthusiasm on our side. i think it's one or the other. but in terms of the enthusiasm question, what do you make of it? is it really momentum? >> i don't think it's real momentum. the other thing he d
. president obama has won a second term in the white house. >> what? you're kidding me. >> this is huge. go ahead. >> around 11:15 last night, the networks put the biggest swing state of the election, ohio, in the president's column. pushing him over the 270 electoral vote threshold. and at this hour, the president has 303 electoral college votes to mitt romney's 206. florida, and my friends, my mustache-loving friends, this is important. florida is the only swing state yet to be called. >> oh, god. he's texting me right now. >> axelrod's texting u ining us now. >> this is what he says. >> if romney loses florida and north carolina. what's he saying? >> he says a deal's a deal. >> a deal's a deal. >> and that he can't do the show today. he wants to come in thursday when florida will be in and he can enforce the bet. that's gross. >> you're in trouble, by the way. >> what do i do? >> you're going to look awful. >> the vote that's still out does not bode well for your mustache. >> you're saying it's not northwest florida? >> it's not the panhandle. >> let it be said, or the rest of us. >> thu
election. national polling in recent weeks has barely budged showing president obama and governor mitt romney deadlocked in a statistical tie with 2011 election in mind, both sides have assembled legal teams to handle voting irregularities or recounts. this contest will likely come down to a handful of swing states which have shown the president with a consistent by razor thin advantage among likely voters. virginia and new hampshire, opened their doors less than half an hour from now. as it tradition, two tiny new hampshire villages were first to cast their ballots in dixville notch. it was a split decision, five to five. five votes for each candidate. in hart's location, 23 votes for president obama and nine for mitt romney. tonight polls begin closing about 6:00 eastern time in kentucky and indiana. our first big clue, though, about how the night will unfold will come after 7:00 when polls close in another half dozen states, including the battleground of virginia with 13 electoral votes up for grabs. the state president obama turned blue in 2008 by a seven-point margin. the latest n
exit polling data trying to piece together the how and why of president obama's reelection. poring over data of turnout and the racial and socioeconomic composition of the winning coalition and breakdowns of what issues drove the electorate to the polls, all the pundits and prognosticators were looking for the formula that added up to a win for the president. now, clearly nate silver has decoded the calculus of probability. but now the question shifted from who will win to what are the voters trying to tell us? and not even nate did definitively answer that. here's what we do know. voters turned out for president barack obama in droves. despite having a somewhat smaller electoral map than in 2008, this is one of the biggest democratic wins since fdr. with florida now colored blue, the president had secured a wide electoral surplus and a sizable popular vote margin. now, the popular vote win was made possible by people who lined up in huge numbers to vote in states like louisiana or new york or south carolina, which weren't in play in terms of their electoral votes. they weren't going to
>> i'm tired of being tired. >> vote obama. it's a slam dunk. >> nothing i said in the past should be any indication of my positions in the future. >> i expect any day he'll be offered a job as a chief contortionist at cirque dusolei. >> i have a record of achieving it. >> i say what i mean and mean what i say. >> i'm not familiar precisely with exactly what i said but i stand by what i said whatever it was. >>> good afternoon. we are just over 24 hours until the first polls close tomorrow night. at this moment we're awaiting the president at a rally in columbus, ohio, with the boss performing right now. not to be outdone, mitt romney has an event in columbus himself just a few hours from now featuring the marshall tucker band. tough choice there for columbus voters. and if the polls are any indication, america is split down the middle in our new poll. the president just edges romney 48% to 47% among likely voters. well within the margin of error. another look at polls confirms this race is pretty tight. with that in mind, the final day of campaigning is a whirlwind tour. mitt romn
is still basically a purple state or a state like indiana which went for obama in 2008, if you nominate the most conservative person on the farthest right wing in your party, that person's going to get beat by a reasonable democrat. that's what happened. >> it is a shame there was a time when republicans, when even conservatives, would listen to the wisdom of william f. buckley that would always say you don't elect the most conservative guy or woman. you elect the most electable conservative guy. get him as conservative as you can. but a guy that can win in northwest florida like myself by 80% is not the guy you want to nominate in southern california. >> what did haley barbour say about jim jeffords in vermont? >> again, during this presidential process when i was asking olympia snowe or asking a candidate about olympia snowe, are you glad she's in your party? he wouldn't answer. >> right. >> and then we asked haley who said, "hell, yeah. i'm glad olympia snowe is in our party and i wish jim jeffords was, too." even on his most liberal day, jim jeffords was going to get elected more th
. president obama plans to open negotiations by calling for $1.6 trillion in additional tax revenue over the next decade. that amount is likely far more than republicans would be willing to accept and double the amount that speaker boehner had offered the president during their debt negotiations last year. today, the president is scheduled to meet with ceos from a dozen companies among them general electric, ford and ibm. they'll discuss ways to work together and try to find a balanced approach to reducing the deficit. during a closed door meeting yesterday with union leaders and liberal supporters, president obama reportedly vowed that he would "not budge" when it comes to letting the bush tax cuts expire for the country's highest earners. labor leader and president of the afl-cio was among those at the white house meeting and says he and the president are right now on the same page, richard trumka. >> we're working to make sure we're not paying a tab for a party we didn't go to. the president led with the notion of protecting the middle class and now you have republicans that have it i
to dean heller. it stays with him. and while president obama carried 28 states last time, he carried 26 or 27 states this time, depending on how florida goes. that means republicans did lose everything else, but got back indiana and also north carolina. so it was not a totally hopeless night for republicans. also, hey, remember the crazy thaddeus mccotter seat in michigan, where thaddeus mccotter screwed up and they had to run this reindeer herder, santa claus impersonator for the seat, a guy whose own brother says he's crazy. that guy won. the shirtless reindeer guy won. so the republicans have him. big picture in the house, thanks mostly to redistricting the republicans were not in danger of losing the house, and they didn't legal cause it, even though the republican majority appears to have shrunk there. and even though they did get the reindeer guy. but in terms of, honestly, of what went well for republicans in this election, that was pretty much it. it is a short list. want to talk about what went well on the other side last night? i'm actually going to pause for a second to give
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